Oscar predictions: Penelope Cruz (Parallel Mothers) ramps up

It looks like Penelope cruz could earn his fourth Oscar nomination with the help of the filmmaker who won him his very first. As of this writing, expert journalists we interviewed from major media outlets place her third in the race for Best Actress for “Parallel Mothers,” the latest film by. Pedro Almodovar, which led her to a nomination for Best Actress for “Volver” 15 years ago. It now puts her in front Lady Gaga (“House of Gucci”) and Jennifer hudson (“Respect”) and just behind the favorite Kristen stewart (“Spencer”) and strong challenger Jessica chastain (“Tammy Faye’s eyes”).

In “Volver” (2006), Cruz played Raimunda, whose late mother returns from the dead with an unfinished business. Following this award breakthrough, she won the award for Best Supporting Actress for “Vicky Cristina Barcelona” (2008) and was again nominated for Best Supporting Actress for the musical “Nine” ( 2009), so she racked up her three nominations in just four years. Sometimes when you’re hot, you’re hot. But it’s now been over a decade since Cruz’s last offer.

In “Parallel Mothers”, she plays a photographer who becomes pregnant and forges close bonds with the young woman (Milena Smit) who gives birth on the same day. The film premiered in September at the Venice Film Festival, and then in October it was the closing film of the New York Film Festival. The reviews so far have been rave, with critics calling Cruz’s performance a “remarkably sharp” “knockout”; it is “one of the best performances of his career”. And now there are 14 Experts betting on Cruz to be nominated, among which Tim gray (Variety) and Michel Musto (Queerty) says she’s going to win.

If she succeeds, it would be Almodovar’s second consecutive film to earn an Oscar nomination for her star after Antonio BanderasNamed Best Actor for “Pain and Glory” (2019). Cruz would be the fifth woman in 10 years to be nominated for best actress for a performance in a non-English language (after Emmanuelle Riva for love”, Marion Cotillard for “Two days, one night” Isabelle Huppert for “She”, and Yalitza Aparicio for “Roma”), so it is not uncommon, but if it wins it would be the first foreign language tour to prevail here since Cotillard for “La Vie en Rose” (2007). Do you agree with our Experts that Cruz will be back at the Oscars?

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